BREAKING-MS: Musgrove will run for Senate (user search)
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  BREAKING-MS: Musgrove will run for Senate (search mode)
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Author Topic: BREAKING-MS: Musgrove will run for Senate  (Read 3597 times)
7,052,770
Harry
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« on: January 04, 2008, 11:40:37 PM »

Senator Musgrove, here we come Cheesy
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2008, 11:43:23 PM »

I HIGHLY doubt Obama would have a chance, but Mississippians have a history of splitting their ballots.  Gene Taylor always gets +60% in a district where Bush does as well.  Haley Barbour gets 58% while Jim Hood gets over 60%.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2008, 11:46:03 PM »


You're kidding, right? By the way, what do you think Barack Obama could get in Mississippi? Any conceivable chance he could win on record-high black turnout?

Absolutely no way. Even if black turnout surpassed white turnout and there was a swing of a couple of points to Obama in both demographics, highly unlikely even under ideal circumstances, Obama would still be about 4% short of winning Mississippi.

Yeah.  If Guiliani were the nominee and the Religious Right organized a mass boycott of the election, and blacks shattered record turnout marks, then he MIGHT have a chance.  Short of that very unlikely scenario, we need to concentrate on winning Mississippi in the SENATE race, not the presidential one.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2008, 11:50:23 PM »

Well, if Bloomberg runs, I'd imagine he wouldn't have a lot of black support, so he might be able to chip a few percentage points of the Republican in Mississippi, allowing Obama to squeak in with a plurality.
No one in Mississippi is going to vote for Bloomberg.
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7,052,770
Harry
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Posts: 35,725
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« Reply #4 on: January 05, 2008, 09:36:31 PM »

I'm not sure what to think about Shows AND Musgrove being in the race.

For the record, the special election is a Louisiana-style jungle primary, so both of them in the race should definitely put the race into a runoff.
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