AL-FM3 Research (Jones Internal): Jones +1

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Make the Deep South Great Again

If Jones and Espy win, surely Hegar would too, and maybe Perkins or even dare I say McGrath.

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Jones needs to beg and plead Nick Saban for an endorsement. It's not totally out of the question - Saban is established to be a liberal Democrat and did an endorsement and commercial for Joe Manchin in 2018 - but Saban probably doesn't want to split the fanbase.

But if Saban did it, the races probably moves to Lean R. Not enough to flip the result on its own, but enough to give Jones a chance at the upset.