Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread

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Tide is turning against impeachment

Uh ... if anything it looks like it's turning in FAVOR of impeachment. Or is that what you were saying?

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When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

[7,052,770]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

Disaster goes too far for the net loss of a single governorship

No it doesn't. These are 3 states where Trump won in a landslide and was very involved in trying to get Republicans elected. None of the Republicans were fundamentally broken candidates like Roy Moore or David Vitter. And despite all that, Democrats took 2 and at least improved a lot in the third.

And why did they do that? The suburbs have turned against Trump. The suburbs of Louisville, Cincinnati, Jackson, and New Orleans are repeating what the suburbs all over America did in 2018, proving it wasn't a fluke or a flash in the pan. Republicans will not be able to count on winning the suburbs at their previous margins going forward, and that is a disaster for the party.

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If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi just don't have a bench of well-funded, credible candidates for the lower state offices. Hell, I voted for 4 Republicans and 4 Democrats because some of the Democratic names on the ballot were random unqualified, non-campaigners who clearly weren't up for the job.