2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2

[Badger]

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-democrats/expanding-the-squad-us-liberals-challenge-moderate-democrats-to-move-party-left-idUSKBN1X00ZY

But the fact that the Texas congressional primary will be held on the same day as the state’s presidential primary could double turnout and boost Cisneros’ chances, said Mark P. Jones, a political science professor at Rice University in Houston.

“If she is able to make the case that she is the congressional equivalent of Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders and Beto O’Rourke, and Henry Cuellar is not, then Cuellar could find himself in some trouble,” Jones said.

How on earth is this guy a political science professor btw? Clinton won every county in the district by large margins and won Texas Hispanics over Bernie 71-29, but yes, obviously being associated with Bernie is just the key to victory in this #risingProgressive #Sanders2020, NeverBiden district.

The daughter of Mexican-American immigrants, Cisneros said that residents in the largely Hispanic district, which is centered in Laredo and stretches from the San Antonio suburbs to the U.S.-Mexico border, are warming to liberal policies. Democrat Hillary Clinton won the district in the 2016 presidential race by 20 percentage points.

Acting like Clinton's margin of victory in a 79% Hispanic, South Texas district proves whether the district is liberal or conservative shows absolutely nothing except that whoever wrote this article has no idea what they're talking about. I can't wait for Cueller to get re-elected by a 40+ point margin.

If Sanders made it to Super Tuesday I wouldn't be shocked if Sanders did better than 2016 in this district by raw percentage aka he gets more than 29%.

If Biden still isn't in, I suppose it's possible. Who's going to appeal to Hispanic voters? Warren? Buttigieg?

[Badger]

She won by almost 14% in a DEM wave year. This is a Trump +14 district. She will not lose.

That doesn't change the fact that she initially tried to sell herself as a Moderate Hero and now suddenly became a bona fide MAGA troll.

Dropping the Moderate Hero act isn't going to stop Trumpists (a majority of her district's electorate based on 2016 vote share) from electing her.

----

It is a bit funny though that Stefanik's whole shtick was about making a concerted effort to bring women/diversity into the GOP caucus and overnight she's become a hero to the MAGA crowd.

This place is historically Democratic and had a ton of Obama Trump voters. I wouldn't put odds on her losing, but it is definitely within the realm of reasonable possibility