OH-07 & OH-14 (user search)
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  OH-07 & OH-14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-07 & OH-14  (Read 1161 times)
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 40,421
United States


« on: August 13, 2017, 09:15:50 PM »

What could be making them potentially competitive?

Well, both candidates went to Yale Law School, so that's helping with the fundraising.

Harbaugh is running in a very conservative district, but his military background is serving him really well. Rader, meanwhile, is running in a decently competitive district where the ODP has repeatedly run into recruiting failtures.


Unfortunately, no. Especially now that Stivers is serving as NRCC chairman.

The 15th district has a pvi of + 7 Republican. I'm actually surprised it's that low and question whether that stat from Wikipedia is up to date. Regardless, it is more than gerrymandered enough to keep it safe R even without Stivers running.

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Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,421
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2017, 01:41:34 AM »

What could be making them potentially competitive?

Well, both candidates went to Yale Law School, so that's helping with the fundraising.

Harbaugh is running in a very conservative district, but his military background is serving him really well. Rader, meanwhile, is running in a decently competitive district where the ODP has repeatedly run into recruiting failtures.


Unfortunately, no. Especially now that Stivers is serving as NRCC chairman.

The 15th district has a pvi of + 7 Republican. I'm actually surprised it's that low and question whether that stat from Wikipedia is up to date. Regardless, it is more than gerrymandered enough to keep it safe R even without Stivers running.


Keep in mind, Athens is in the district. That's probably what keeps the PVI at "only" R+7.

Not to mention portions of Franklin County. Expertly crafted portions to include Stivers residence in Upper Arlington while avoiding every possible pocket of liberal and / or minority neighborhoods before linking up with the rest of Southeast Ohio, but still Franklin County none-the-less.

Hell, the district doesn't even include all of Athens County. That's how gerrymandered it is.
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Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,421
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2017, 01:42:15 AM »

What could be making them potentially competitive?

Well, both candidates went to Yale Law School, so that's helping with the fundraising.

Harbaugh is running in a very conservative district, but his military background is serving him really well. Rader, meanwhile, is running in a decently competitive district where the ODP has repeatedly run into recruiting failtures.


Unfortunately, no. Especially now that Stivers is serving as NRCC chairman.

The 15th district has a pvi of + 7 Republican. I'm actually surprised it's that low and question whether that stat from Wikipedia is up to date. Regardless, it is more than gerrymandered enough to keep it safe R even without Stivers running.


Keep in mind, Athens is in the district. That's probably what keeps the PVI at "only" R+7.

Not to mention portions of Franklin County. Expertly crafted portions to include Stivers residence in Upper Arlington while avoiding every possible pocket of liberal and / or minority neighborhoods before linking up with the rest of Southeast Ohio, but still Franklin County none-the-less.

Hell, the district doesn't even include all of Athens County. That's how gerrymandered it is.
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