I'd wait for more IL polls to say with certainty that Kirk is doomed (Duckworth's most recent internal has her up 7, while Kirk's internal has him up 2). And I'm aware of the PA polls, but Katie McGinty is still a trash tier candidate and if there's anyone who can lose this race, it's gotta be her.
But yeah, if the Democrats win NV, IN, IL, NH and WI, it will be enough if Clinton wins the presidential race. Of course a Republican takeover of the Senate in 2018 would be guaranteed in that case.
I just don't see how Kirk would actually win this year. As for McGinty, she's a C list recruit at the very best but I think she's good enough of a candidate to win as long as Clinton wins PA by at least 5 points (which seems likely)
RE: KIRK: I'm sure a lot of people said the same about Kirkpatrick, Graham and Ashford in 2014. There are always a few races that don't fit the national trendline. A race that pollsters are leaving us in the dark about sounds like a perfect candidate. Doesn't mean it will happen, but we shouldn't be all SAFE D DUCKWORTH IS AMAZING either.
didn't the RSCC pull out of IL in
June ?
