The first is ROCK SOLID. This is the group responsible for overcoming the Sanders insurgency and seeing Clinton through to the nomination, and they will show up for Clinton in November. They represent a solid 35% of the electorate. Actually, they are growing, due to changing demographics.
Right, because blue-collar union members are so enthusiastic about Hillary Clinton... Clinton will win the upscale union vote like nurses, college faculty, government employees, pilots, etc. but Trump will win over plenty of truck drivers, steelworkers, auto workers, prison guards, etc. who are registered Democrats but not ideologically married to Democratic orthodoxy.
How do I put this nicely. Uh, this is an oversold myth. A really bad one.
Citing Silver articles about Trump. You're new here, aren't you .
I think he's right, though, and the Dem coalition will be MUCH more unified than the GOP one.
Nah. Atlas veteran on a new account. We'll just have to wait and see if Silver can redeem himself this year.
Silver sucked rocks this year with prognostication, but this article is statistically well documented.