How Does Trump Win the IA Caucus?

[Badger]

An important question given a) if he wins there he'll probably be unstoppable; but b) it appears Cruz has overtaken him and is now the man to beat.

One's answer can address voter demographics/types to appeal to, counties/CDs to hit certain numbers in, types of attacks/campaign tactics, etc. Etc. To put Thhe Donald on top caucus night.

Please , however, leave the trollish "TRUMP is king, all others are lo-energy losers" spiels at the door. That's what we have AAD & Lief for.

[Badger]

An important question given a) if he wins there he'll probably be unstoppable; but b) it appears Cruz has overtaken him and is now the man to beat.

One's answer can address voter demographics/types to appeal to, counties/CDs to hit certain numbers in, types of attacks/campaign tactics, etc. Etc. To put Thhe Donald on top caucus night.

Please , however, leave the trollish "TRUMP is king, all others are lo-energy losers" spiels at the door. That's what we have AAD & Lief for.

I think you might be inflating the influence of Iowa. It has next to no correlation with NH, and perhaps a negative one, as to influencing what NH does. Sure Cruz needs to win it, to keep going, as other than Trump's VP choice, or maybe to just get the silver medal, but I don't think Trump does. The fact that the turnout is so low in a caucus situation, really "impeaches" the significance of Iowa. If the Iowa Pubs had a brain, they would have a regular primary. That would cause the state to have more of an impact with respect to being first. But then, NH would not tolerate Iowa both being first, and having a regular primary. And so it goes.

Trump needs be stopped in NH. Period. That is what it is all about. The establishment Pubs can stop Cruz. What is uncomfortably not clear, is whether they can stop Trump. If they cannot, Hillary will be POTUS. Period - again.

Your thread is probably on the wrong board. This is an election question, not a poll question. Not that I care, but Morden might.

Check my OP, Torie. I never implied Trump had to win IA. Rather , someone else needs to beat him there for him to have any realistic chance of losing. He is leading consistently and healthily in NH and NV, and leading in SC with Cruz closing in. Cruz needs the momentum of an Iowa win to have any chance of beating him in SC or afterwards. Trump is within striking distance of winning IA though, but hasn't been able to seal the deal with voters there. He had troubles with even Carson there before he crashed and burned .

Good point about the thread location 6though . my error. Mods please move this thread .

[Badger]

he need to takes tea party support. since december cruz has slightly more tea party support than trump

And how exactly does he do that? so far the only relevant answers seem to be hope for a late Huck or Santorum surge to weaken Cruz, which as noted he has little control over.

I'll offer my own 2 cents: Hit the airways hard and now. Trump's perfect TV awareness talking in his ultra-classy office to an off-screen interviewer, interposed with shots of YUGE enthusiastic rally crowds (minus shots of supporters beating up minority hecklers of course). The goal being to simultaneously convey "presidential" and "outsider".

Otherwise, it sounds like his chance to effectively end the nomination race with a IA win is effectively doomed.