SHOCK poll: Eric Cantor (R) in primary trouble !?

[Badger]

Will Brat have a democratic challenger?

Yes, it's actually another professor from the college Brat teaches at. But this is a R+10 district, with Romney winning 57% of the 2012 vote and Cantor winning 58% of the 2012 vote, so even though Brat is a tea partier, this is definitely a Likely R if not Safe R race.

Actually, Northam won VA-07 by a slim margin. It's more Democratic than McIntyre's district, so I'd imagine Democrats have a chance in this district. A very, very faint chance, but nevertheless a chance.

This isn't a traditionally Blue Dog-ish district like NC-07 though. It's basically ultra-conservative Richmond/DC suburbs plus some rural areas. Not very elastic.

Not to mention it's almost always a mistake to conflate state office race results with expected outcomes for federal office.

[Badger]

I'm not sure why so many liberals and Democrats on the Forum are happy over this result. Yes, Cantor was a thorn in the side of any attempts at bipartisanship, even by Boehner, but whoever takes his role can be assured from this election result to be worse.

Any chance of even partial immigration reform has been pushed back at least several years.

On every other issue under the sun, any member of the GOP caucus even dreaming about a bipartisan move towards the sensible center will, more than ever, now fear of being "Cantored" by the far right. (And in a couple weeks, I fear, the Senate GOP caucus will live in terror of being "Cochraned").

Dems can't even be happy over a potential race for this district. Brat may be pretty extreme, but it's a +10 R district. The GOP is going to keep this hands down. At worst we MIGHT have to put a BIT of $ in to ensure a win, and probably only if Brat pulls some Akin-like comments.

[Badger]

I'm not sure why so many liberals and Democrats on the Forum are happy over this result. Yes, Cantor was a thorn in the side of any attempts at bipartisanship, even by Boehner, but whoever takes his role can be assured from this election result to be worse.

Any chance of even partial immigration reform has been pushed back at least several years.

On every other issue under the sun, any member of the GOP caucus even dreaming about a bipartisan move towards the sensible center will, more than ever, now fear of being "Cantored" by the far right. (And in a couple weeks, I fear, the Senate GOP caucus will live in terror of being "Cochraned").

Dems can't even be happy over a potential race for this district. Brat may be pretty extreme, but it's a +10 R district. The GOP is going to keep this hands down. At worst we MIGHT have to put a BIT of $ in to ensure a win, and probably only if Brat pulls some Akin-like comments.

Democrats don't want immigration reform (unless it's immediate full citizenship for every illegal immigrant)
Republicans want immigration reform.
Democrats can be happy because now Republicans are unlikely to force them to vote against reform again and they can keep the issue benefiting them.

^ That sounds about right. I suppose one could say that both parties seem to want immigration reform entirely on their own terms.

The above "contributions" validate my post.

In the long run, sensible Republicans should also be disheartened; supporting reasonable immigration reform is one of the few ways to fight the demographic wave killing us in national elections. If we could even come close to carrying the same share of Hispanic and Asians voters W did, the future would be a lot brighter.

[Badger]

In the long run, sensible Republicans should also be disheartened; supporting reasonable immigration reform is one of the few ways to fight the demographic wave killing us in national elections. If we could even come close to carrying the same share of Hispanic and Asians voters W did, the future would be a lot brighter.

A reasonable immigration reform is one that won't necessitate yet another reform and another every other decade. The politics first or politics primarily approach demands something else and even then, it will take a lot more then that to achieve the results your mention politically speaking. 

Please don't cite 'politics' as a driving force FOR immigration reform. Irony levels that high are probably lethal.