Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
Posts: 40,496
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« on: December 19, 2011, 09:15:36 PM » |
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Damned if I know, thought that is the $64,000 question.
The cop-out answer is "the winner in SC". Predicting it now? Seeing the way Newt is utterly crashing, and the Bachmann/Perry/Santorum vote seems incapable of uniting around one candidate. I'm tempted to say "Paul by default", though I'd hasten to add there's no way Paul will adequately unite the ABR vote to seriously challenge the nomination. If you held a gun to my head I'd say the 2nd most likely option is a Rick Perry comeback if he finishes at least 3rd AND ahead of Gingrich in IA. My next "likely" guess would be Newt makes another comeback (he was dead man walking in August remember), stays alive to SC, and Paul and/or Perry don't split the ABR vote enough to deny Newt the win.
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