MT-PPP: Obama trails all

[Badger]

Its been noted elsewhere on the forum that MT tends to have a strong anti-incumbent bias in presidential voting--at least towards GOP incumbents. Hence we saw Obama, Dukakis and Carter all do relatively well there for Democrats, and Clinton even took it in 92. The historical evidence isn't rock solid (Kerry did only a bit better PVI-wise than Gore), but it indicates its PVI will likely shift notably Republican next year.