Post-Realignment Electoral Map?

[All Along The Watchtower]

Here's my map, based on my own assessment of where things seem to be going, more or less. Not exactly a "realignment", but more my view of current and likely trends.

Preliminary notes on this: obviously on this map Democrats have a significant (62-vote) advantage over the Republicans in their electoral floor (259-196, but there's gonna be fierce competition for those 84 "toss-up" votes I left on the table. 196+ 84 = 280 = Republican EV win.

Republicans have a narrower path to victory than Democrats here, for sure, but they do indeed have a path (or a couple, even -  a few variants on Trump's path in 2016, basically). And the floor for both parties is fragile: notice the light shading on many of the important "swing" states, or the fact that I rated Michigan, Florida, Georgia (!), and Wisconsin as toss-ups.  Pretty precarious electoral situation for both parties.

I agree with those who think that Arizona and Georgia will be in play before Texas - likely well before IMHO.

Anyway, questions and commentary on this map are of course welcome.

Arkansas?

D'oh! Good catch.