All Along The Watchtower
Progressive Realist
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Posts: 15,730
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« on: November 13, 2011, 07:39:31 PM » |
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Thing is Wonk, no matter what strategy the Dems use, I can't see them regaining the House before 2016 at the earliest.
its very possible that if Obama loses in 2012 the dems regain it in 2014.
Nah. Even without the redistricting arguments that Wonk gave, I don't see the Republicans as being able to do themselves sufficient political damage in only two years to reverse the political tide that far. Not unless the Tea Partiers take far more seats than I expect them to. Pretty much everyone agrees that Social Security and Medicare need some serious reforms to bring the Federal budget back into whack in the long term. So long as the Republicans can avoid reforms that are seen as being the next worst thing to eliminating them, they'll only lose some seats as is typical for the party in power during a mid-term election, but not the whole House. Plus the Dems will have to concentrate on defending the Senate seats they won in 2008 in an attempt to keep the Republicans from gaining enough seats there to get a filibuster-proof 60 seats.
Manufacturing Consent?
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