Imagine the Tories, led by a weary Ian Duncan Smith, running an election campaign with Alicia Kearns and Suella Braverman both publicly jostling to succeed him within weeks of the election. It just doesn’t seem like the actions of a serious party.
It certainly does seem like strange optics for elections. I wonder if it would be better to replace him after the general election and then hold a leadership election during 2025 ready for 2026? Though yet again you would then be spending another year focused on SNP internal divisions which would be bad for the SNP. It seems like they very much are between a rock and a hard place (completely their own fault though lol)
In the event of an SNP meltdown, how much of the vote do we think will go to Alba/Greens and how much to Labour? Are marginal SNP voters still strong believers in the independence cause and unwilling to go to Labour bc of it or are they more willing to stick with people potentially closer with their other policy beliefs?
