UK parliamentary boundary review (user search)
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  UK parliamentary boundary review (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK parliamentary boundary review  (Read 21500 times)
somerandomth
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Posts: 26
United Kingdom


« on: August 08, 2023, 07:36:05 AM »

The official notional election results will be published by Professors Thrasher (Sky News) and Rallings (ITN) sometime later this year, my guess is certainly before the end of the year, but thanks to the House of Commons publishing a similarity index, a friend of mine has sent me the following unoffical calculations

Unoffical Notional Electrion 2019
Conservatives 371 seats
Labour 200 seats
Scottish National Party 48 seats
Liberal Democrats 9 seats
Plaid Cymru 2 seats
Green Party 1 seat
Speaker 1 seat
Northern Ireland Parties 18 seats (DUP 8, Sinn Fein 7, SDLP 2, Alliance 1)
Conservative majority of 94 / 100 when allowing for Sinn Fein and Speaker(

As expected, but good to get confirmation from experts that these are roughly the figures we're heading towards for notionals
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