French election maps

[Antonio the Sixth]

Looking forward !

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is great. It's interesting to compare the two maps.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Oh, I do care.

Me too.
But it's rather depressing for me: it was the good old times, when the right was still pretty strong in inner West, in Ile-de-France or in all the Massif Central.
Corrèze is almost readable immediately in this map !

The 1995-2012 swing in Corrèze will be hilarious to see.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Nobody seems to care, but here's an interesting map:

This is very interesting ! Could you explain the geographic patterns ?

[Antonio the Sixth]

I see, Besancenot saw the erosion of his traditional bobo/trendy electoral base but benefitted from the regrouping of the "left of the left" under his name as a result of the utter failure of Laguiller/Buffet/Bové.

It's fun when you think about how pathetic the total "left of the left" vote was pathetic in 2007. The "useful vote" mechanic was indeed very strong at this time. So, quite ironically, there are probably a sizable share of Royal voters who won't vote Hollande this time (otherwise Mélenchon's standing is hard to explain). Which also tells us how much Hollande has taken away from centrists or center-leftist (Bayrou supporters in 2007).

[Antonio the Sixth]

btw, I picked up Goguel's atlas of sorts of elections between 1871 and 1956. Anybody up for some old maps?

Always.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Heh, your description made me go "wait a sec", look at the key, and laugh hard. I tend to automatically assume that red means decline on maps like that...

I've always considered that, in a map, increase should be signified by reddish colors and decline by blueish color. I don't get why people tend to assume the opposite. I find it logical that hot colors are something positive and cold colors something negative.

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is infinitely beautiful. I long to see the final version !

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is fantastic, Homely ! Congrats, you probably have done a hell of a job to reach this result.

I hope a 2012 version (even more interesting...) is forthcoming

Indeed. The pinker, the better !

[Antonio the Sixth]

Hash, have you a blank map with new legislative constituencies, by chance ?

Indeed, I do:



Insets for the overseas regions are also available.

Saved it. I'll try to fill it myself after the elections (in the hope to put as much pink as possible ).

[Antonio the Sixth]

Great job !

For once, my canton voted the right way...

[Antonio the Sixth]

That's a fantastic project.

Can you zoom to the USA? I can't believe Vermonters voted for Sarko.

[Antonio the Sixth]

That's a fantastic project.

Can you zoom to the USA? I can't believe Vermonters voted for Sarko.

It seems like photobucket doesn't show the full view, unfortunately. Maybe when it's done I'll find a way to post the entire thing

How many French people actually live in Vermont? Like 2? Anyway, VT-NH-RI-ME and non-Cambridge MA voters had only a single precinct in Boston, and turnout there was like 18% (against 40% in Cambridge). Same thing for the 5 French people living in WI, IN, IA, MO and KS who had a precinct in Chicago where turnout was 14%.

In the US, Flanby won New Orleans (with nearly 60%), two precincts in NYC which apparently correspond to Brooklyn/Williamsburg (but lost NYC heavily because Sarko got 65-70% in Manhattan), Portland, 2/3 precincts in San Francisco , Berkeley and one of the 2 precincts in MontCo/PGC in Maryland.

Ah, Ok, sorry. Since I didn't see the map very well I thought every state had its own precinct.

But if Hollande won SF, that's enough to me.

[Antonio the Sixth]

That's beautiful, congratulations.

There are many things I would like to have explained, but I don't know how to begin. You should definitely go through all this stuff.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I don't have many specific questions, just interested in understanding the whole picture. What explains the divide in the US (Hollande strong in the West Coast and Louisiana, but weak in the Northeast), why Hollande swept most countries of Western Europe, why he did so well in the Middle East, what's behind the divide in African countries, etc...

Actually, it would be quicker to tell you what I think I do understand. South America seems to be closely correlated to wealth (plus the obvious Anti-Chavez effect in Venezuela), Canada has a rather logical divide, and Eastern Europe is understandably right-leaning.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Thank you, that's fascinating and makes everything much clearer! I admit I had little to no idea what kind of expats lived where, apart from a few obvious cases.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Nice one. I'm starting to get the pattern.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Poujade? That Poujade? He ran in a CNIP list in 1979? ROFL.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Random bump for this amusing map:



The Schwartzenberg/Sarajevo list was a leftie list which strongly supported humanitarian intervention in Bosnia. It was basically made up quasi-entirely of leftie academics, from good (Touraine) to bad (BHL!).

Patterns are nothing too extraordinary though.

I'm not sure, but doesn't it look somewhat like the old PSU?

[Antonio the Sixth]

At least, a very "old left" pattern, with these very strong results on the mediterranean coast.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Awesome maps! I can't wait for Marseille at the Europeans, must be a fascinating map.

[Antonio the Sixth]

...wow.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Great work, as always.

[Antonio the Sixth]

So how do native french working class vote, searching it up, there is articles of how, COMMUNISTS VOTE FOR TEH LE PEN. In 2012, did they vote for the socialists, with LePen in second place. What are working class areas in France?

They heavily vote for Le Pen

Really? That's sad then, any statistics on this regard, and some from 2012. I don't fully believe this, looking at maps from 2012. Though in 2017, I expect LePen to make huge gains.

Traditional working-class strongholds (Nord-Pas-de-Calais, Ardennes, Meurthe-et-Moselle, Seine-Maritime) are still generally left-leaning (at least they were in 2012), but the FN does do very well there, yeah.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yeah, you really see in these maps the rise of the "France périphérique".