Trump's lewd comments - is the House in play? (user search)
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  Trump's lewd comments - is the House in play? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump's lewd comments - is the House in play?  (Read 1911 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,384
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: October 08, 2016, 05:09:45 PM »


Nah. If the Senate is barely in play, then the House certainly isn't.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,384
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2016, 05:33:04 PM »


Nah. If the Senate is barely in play, then the House certainly isn't.
The senate wasn't "barely" in play, before the comments democrats were the favorites picking this chamber already.

Both 538 and the Upshot gave basically 50/50 odds. And the polls' movement toward Hillary doesn't seem to have translated in Senate races so far.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,384
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2016, 08:30:25 PM »


Nah. If the Senate is barely in play, then the House certainly isn't.
The senate wasn't "barely" in play, before the comments democrats were the favorites picking this chamber already.

Both 538 and the Upshot gave basically 50/50 odds. And the polls' movement toward Hillary doesn't seem to have translated in Senate races so fa


50/50 odds doesn't mean "barely" at play

True. "Barely in play" would be "Democrats might win IL and WI, and have an outside shot at NH, PA, and IN."

You're right, but still. I'd like to see some polls before we start talking about impending doom for Congressional Republicans (though Tartarus Sauce raises some very good point). For all we know, this could have zero impact.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,384
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2016, 10:53:08 PM »

his negative coattails will literally bring the house down with him

So you think his unpopularity will be so strong that it will create an earthquake beneath the Capitol? Huh
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