Portugal Legislative Elections, 10/04/2015 (user search)
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  Portugal Legislative Elections, 10/04/2015 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Portugal Legislative Elections, 10/04/2015  (Read 18189 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: October 04, 2015, 02:49:31 PM »
« edited: October 16, 2015, 09:56:02 AM by Hash »
I can't find it on this board anymore... Huh

Missing thread (patched together, incomplete):


edit by Hash
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2015, 02:55:17 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 02:51:48 PM
I've been rude to our fellow Danish poster, which prompted her to delete it. I've since apologized via PM. Dunno if it can be restored.

As someone who likes Politicus... This was incredibly dumb and she should be the one apologizing.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2015, 02:56:27 PM »
Anyway, thread title changed.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM »
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2015, 03:03:30 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on October 04, 2015, 03:00:44 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on October 04, 2015, 02:57:58 PM
What are the typical "swing Districts" I could look at to see what the eventual vote tally is going to look like?
From a quick look, Coimbra, Porto and Santarem were the bellwethers of last time.

Right now Porto seems a lot more right-wing than the other two. If Coimbra and Santarem are to be trusted, PaF's margin should narrow significantly.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2015, 04:22:09 PM »
The right just lost its absolute majority, with 70/141 Deputies.

Hurray, I guess.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2015, 04:25:15 PM »
This is the official website: http://www.legislativas2015.mai.gov.pt/resultados-globais.html
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2015, 04:38:13 PM »
Left 87 - 81 Right
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2015, 04:54:53 PM »
95 - 86
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2015, 05:06:40 PM »
Why is PaF doing so well in Lisboa? I thought the city leaned left.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2015, 05:23:56 PM »
94 - 104
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2015, 05:43:58 PM »
112 - 99

Left close to absolute majority.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2015, 06:04:21 PM »
114 - 100
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2015, 06:50:08 PM »
119 - 102

Only Setubal and the foreign seats left to count.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2015, 07:46:39 PM »
PS should let PSD form a minority government, wait for them to come up with an austerity budget, and promptly refuse to vote it. Then new elections would be called, and PS would be well positioned to win them.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2015, 08:00:45 PM »
Portugal isn't quite in the same position as Greece, so the blackmail couldn't work quite effectively as it did against Tsipras. PS at least has enough leverage to enact some basic relief measures.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2015, 10:38:20 PM »
When will the foreign votes be counted?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2015, 01:05:16 PM »
Quote from: Hans-im-Glück on October 05, 2015, 03:35:56 AM

I'm not sure, but I heard that on October 14th we know the results from the Portuguese in all the world.

You can 99.9% sure that the result will be PSD 3, PS 1

I see, thanks.

So Portugal is another country where expats lean right?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2015, 11:18:57 AM »

Wow, looks like most of the forum was actually too pessimistic for once. Smiley
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,486
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2015, 08:20:56 PM »
I hope they go through and pass the no-confidence motion.
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