Ugh god, I said I wouldn't comment on any more Congressional threads, but I just love the defense of the Almighty Saint Silver that is going on here. "OH he can't predict everything correctly!" Nevermind that his entire approach to predicting politics is based off of a misguided belief that everything comes down to some kind of statistical mathematic formula or some sh*t like that.
When you start to think that everything can be explained by numbers and formulas you are arguably as stupid as people who believe that the Earth is a giant solar cracker. No matter how many MIT degrees you may hold.
Except he has never said such things. He's actually a lot more nuanced in his analyses than people give him credit for.
Now, I also believe Silver's model has its flaws (and his 2014 model has been particularly disappointing in terms of sophistication). But he remains one of the few people in America whose predictions are worth taking seriously.
