An analysis of possible outcomes (user search)
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  An analysis of possible outcomes (search mode)
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Author Topic: An analysis of possible outcomes  (Read 3687 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: October 06, 2012, 06:27:45 PM »
Quote from: Harry on October 06, 2012, 10:25:10 AM
If you're going to include that last one, you should also include this one:



There are much more rock-solid R States than rock-solid D States. Adjusting for the national margin, North Dakota in 2008 was more Republican than Connecticut was Democrat.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,511
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2012, 07:09:18 PM »
Quote from: izixs on October 07, 2012, 07:04:49 PM
The many years I've lurked and the few that I've posted have left me with one conclusion about prediction maps on the forum here: Most predictions on the forum are poorly conceived. Aka, the average poster, left or right, is pretty bad at making predictions individually. The question is... will the average prediction get close to the truth or not? If it does, that suggests something kind of neat.

The 2008 final prediction was godawful, fwiw.

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