1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district) (user search)
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  1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 1984 Presidential Election (by congressional district)  (Read 26758 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: October 21, 2010, 09:33:56 AM »

I find it interesting, please continue. Smiley
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2010, 12:02:42 PM »

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  Cheesy

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2010, 12:15:55 PM »

By the way, I literally had to re-draw some of these districts, so they arn't perfect, but they are pretty good.  Most of them were drawn based on county lines anyways.

I recieved all these results from a book called The Almanac of American Politics 1988 by Michael Barone and Grant Ujifusa.  It's a great read!  Cheesy

And now back to some more state data.

That's not the first time I've heard of those "almanacs" : they must be a true goldmine of political data... Do you know if modern and update versions exist ?

There are a bunch of used ones on Amazon and such, which is where I got mine.  You may be able to find some for 20-30 dollars.  Some are very expensive, up to 50 or 60 dollars. 


But mine were about $20.  They're pretty awesome.  Smiley

Yeah, indeed. I guess I will try to buy one some day.

BTW, could you compile a list with districts where Reagan lost or won by less than 18.21 pts (ie his national margin), so that we'll have an idea of what a toss-up election would have been like.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2010, 02:42:58 AM »


Indeed, districts seem considerably more sound than they are as of now.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2010, 08:21:28 AM »

Alabama



There were no close districts whatsoever. 

But there wern't any 70%+ Reagan districts either.

Was any district majority-black?

I've read somewhere that the "blcak majority district" doctrine emerged during the 1991 redistricting (the author cited it as a cause of the Republican comeback in the House from 1994 to 2006, but he also has mades a series of predictions that were proved wrong so I don't take it for granted).
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2010, 02:00:42 PM »

Please keep it going. Smiley
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2010, 05:31:59 AM »

All this is very interesting. Wink For NC, did Reagan get >50% in 3 districts and >70% in other 8 ? That's weird.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2010, 02:53:20 PM »

All this is very interesting. Wink For NC, did Reagan get >50% in 3 districts and >70% in other 8 ? That's weird.

The lighter shades are 50%, and the darker shades are 60%+.  Wink

Oh, OK.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,443
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #8 on: November 22, 2010, 07:32:27 AM »

That's really great. Smiley
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