What? Where is this coming from? Virginia voted more D in 2020 than it has since 1944, by double digits. The "meme" was pretty accurate. The fact that it narrowly elected a Republican governor in a bad year for Dems, when Rs also almost won New Jersey, is irrelevant. Otherwise Kentucky and Louisiana are not safe Republican then by the same "logic," because they elected Democratic governors in an off-year with a Republican incumbent. And Illinois and New York both elected Republican governors, in the case of Illinois even a Republican senator, not all that long ago.
Why is it so hard for so many on this site to understand that gubernatorial/state elections say almost nothing about federal elections, especially presidential elections? That may be LESS true now than it used to be due to polarization, but overall it's still more true than not. Youngkin winning means precisely f--k regarding how blue Virginia is on the presidential level, which remains VERY blue. I would be shocked beyond belief if a Republican comes even remotely close to winning Virginia next year. Another double digit Democratic victory is far more likely.
I swear, the kneejerk overreactions from people on this site who apparently have the memories of goldfish -- and sometimes it seems the political knowledge of one as well -- are often VERY cringe.
This. By this same logic, Vermont is a Swing State due to electing Phil Scott to the Governorship. Besides NOVa trends are going against Rs and Rurals are shrinking