Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2024, 01:16:49 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Forum Community
  Forum Community (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, YE, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Prediction bragging time: I will now accept my accolades  (Read 618 times)
Liminal Trans Girl
Lawer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,494
United States


P P P
« on: November 28, 2022, 11:55:24 AM »

Senate:

I wasn't expecting Schumer to underpreform as much as he did from 2016.

GA is still out so I'll skip that but in NC I expected it to be like 2020

In WI I overestimated Johnson based on Incumbency

In OH I knew Manchin helping Ryan would make them dump money, it wouldn't be enough for Ryan to win but it would pull away from races where it was needed for the GOP.

In IA, Grassley is an 88 year old man in obvious decline

In ND, I didn't know how the Independent would do

In Utah, I thought it would be like 2016 where they would drag the Rs down into the 40s but the Rs still win

In AK, I based it off of the first round

Governor:

In VT, I should've known Scott was a Strong incumbent

In TN, I thought that the Dems would be a lot closer than they were

In KS, I thought that Kelly was strong enough to win a majority

In SD, my data was unreliable

In AZ, I knew that a number of factors would stop an R overperformance like Dobbs, QAnon and Mark Kelly being on the ballot

In NV, my only wrong prediction of the bunch, I knew it would be very close I just didn't know on what side

In OR, I knew that Johnson would not cross 10% and that their Dem bias is overwhelming

In ID, i didn't know Bundy would do so well

In AK, it was based on first round where I under estimated Dunleavy
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.