PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 23, 2024, 08:42:06 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it  (Read 69644 times)
Respect and Compassion
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 313
United States


« on: April 12, 2022, 10:19:49 AM »

Shapiro's fundraising makes me feel better but recent election cycles show us (e.g. Michael Bloomberg) that money may not be enough to counteract heavily unfavorable political environments. Working class voters in Pennsylvania are shifting like college women did in 2018. Keep in mind that Trump got 48.8% in 2020. It doesn't take a significant shift at all to flip the state. I would say that in retrospect, Scott Walker had a better chance of holding on in 2018 than the Democrats do in holding onto Pennsylvania in 2022.

PredictIt has a history of being overly bulling on Democratic Party candidates' chances. They have it at 63c R, 40c D right now. Pennsylvania Gubernatorial seems Lean R to me at the very least, unfortunately.
Logged
Respect and Compassion
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 313
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2022, 04:02:02 PM »

When are Atlas posters going to realize “election denialism” is a mainstream view?

It's not that it's mainstream necessarily (although it is when you count all forms of election denialism), it's just not an important thing that most people actually care enough to vote based solely on, to the detriment of every Wikipedia entry and news article. Liberals have made this their obsession because it makes Republicans look bad, as simple as that. If we had a conservative media, we would have articles of Democrats that would highlight that they implied Russian collusion in 2016, or downplayed BLM riots, as their go-to passive aggressive smears. But we have a liberal media, clearly, and they won't ever give up talking about this or vastly overestimating how much people care about it.

Not sure why you're acting like this is just liberals freaking out over nothing when the Republican nominee for the Governor has explicitly endorsed this conspiracy theory.

The issue is that 'election denialism' is not arguably a particularly damaging thing among swing/nonpartisan voters. It won't damage as much as a sex-scandal, white nationalism, advocating for cuts to social security, et cetera - if at all. For swing/nonpartisan voters who are leaning R right now, such talk will be met with "ok, so? I think the Republicans will do more to fix the economy".

Unfortunately
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 12 queries.