Kerry expanding into Virginia

[??????????]

It is extreme but I think it is in the realm of possibility.  I don't believe that this will be a close election.  Despite (and actually maybe because of) all the attention that the split-country model has been getting in the media.  Bush or Kerry will untimately win in a landslide in November.  My model is simply and I think accurately what a Kerry landslide would look like.  Just like your prediction Soupersoulty, which I think is just as optomistic and perhaps realistic, is what a Bush landslide would like.

That map is not impossible this year.

[??????????]

The problem with WV's isn't that it's losing population... the problem is that less people in the strongly Democrat south of the state are voting.

Actually the real problem is that they are simply dying. Many of the older Roosvelt era diehard Democrats are simply dying and not being replaced with newly registered, and consistantly democratic voting democrats. We have much the same problem in my state in counties like Alleghany which used to be a staunch Democratic county. Last year there were several months that people were removed from the democratic rolls due to death far out numbered new enrollments.

Its about time.

[??????????]

The problem with WV's isn't that it's losing population... the problem is that less people in the strongly Democrat south of the state are voting.

Actually the real problem is that they are simply dying. Many of the older Roosvelt era diehard Democrats are simply dying and not being replaced with newly registered, and consistantly democratic voting democrats. We have much the same problem in my state in counties like Alleghany which used to be a staunch Democratic county. Last year there were several months that people were removed from the democratic rolls due to death far out numbered new enrollments.

Its about time.

Death wouldn't be a problem if younger people in Southern WV voted. As a rule they don't.
If Kerry wants to win WV he needs these people to turn out.

I know I've said it about a million times. I don't mean to be morbid but my whole point is I think this country may end its dead lock and actually get something done once the New Dealers and BabyBoomer/Vietnam era folks are to old to be in office anymore. That is why I feel their is going to be a shift among the electorate.


On a side note : WalterMitty what part of N.C. are you from?

[??????????]

My wifes family is from Wilson.

[??????????]

Fellows, lay off Super, he was using that map for another thread. I usually just use the calculator under the Election INFO section but he chooses to use the Prediction area. Give him a break already.

[??????????]

Might be another one of those fake maps.  There is no way that one is serious.

I have dreamed that map 6 times in the past year. I stick firm by it. Major event in July-August. I have 3-4 other sources who confirm and have had the same dream. Rack me up with the nutzos if you wish.

[??????????]

Might be another one of those fake maps.  There is no way that one is serious.

I have dreamed that map 6 times in the past year. I stick firm by it. Major event in July-August. I have 3-4 other sources who confirm and have had the same dream. Rack me up with the nutzos if you wish.

so you think Kerry will win Florida? You've said many times in the past Kerry has no chance in Florida.

I'm interested in what type of event could give Kerry Virginia and Missouri while he loses California and Washington.

I hope to heck my map is wrong! I hope Bush does win Florida. Because I fear something terrible will have happened for this map to occur.

[??????????]

Thurmond,

Who wins in your map?

R-270
D-268

[??????????]

yeah, but that's not going to happen. such a scenario is just silly and as pointless as saying Bush can win without Texas if he wins New York.

Stranger things have happened. I trust my instinct.