How much longer for Blair? (user search)
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  How much longer for Blair? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How much longer for Blair?  (Read 2408 times)
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« on: April 07, 2006, 10:46:51 AM »

Hopefully in a short time he'll be gone.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2006, 10:57:39 AM »

Whenever he wants to or whenever Gordon pushes him. He won't go before the summer though.
I have a vauge suspicion that he might retire in early 2007.
But no matter what, he's pledged to retire before the next General election (2010 at the very latest).

Whats the chance of a Tory victory? Or is more of the same in store?
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2006, 11:12:49 AM »

Whats the chance of a Tory victory? Or is more of the same in store?

You mean at the next General Election? It's too early to tell that sort of stuff right now (we're three or four years out after all) but basic electoral maths say that the chances of a Tory majority are very slim.

If you're interested, opinion polls (when taking into account MoE's) are currently showing Labour up a little bit from the last General Election (which bearing in mind current problems in Scotland, likely means up quite a lot in England north of the Severn-Wash line) and the Tories are up a bit more. The LibDems have certainly dropped a small but significant amount since then, with the ex-LibDem voters moving towards the new look "liberal" Tories. But they don't seem to be under threat of a wipeout anymore.

Did you ever make any maps showing the most conservative v liberal areas of your country, based on election results, religion, etc? I don't remember seeing you doing one. You always make great maps. Smiley
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