Far from it. I might concur if polls remain this way next month, however.
I would've agreed if this was a month ago, but it's August now. There are no conventions to be had, and three debates (if Trump even shows up) are really the only major political events happening from now till the election. To me it's just unlikely there's anything Trump could do to retake the lead. He got his temporary lead with the RNC and the DNC email leak, but that's all the past now.
Normal people (i.e. people who don't obsessively follow politics) aren't paying much attention atm and won't until October. This election is markedly different from all other recent ones and nothing can be certain. Clinton is the favorite, but both candidates are unpopular which makes more potential for fluidity (just as two popular candidates does: see 2000).
