I thought that Montana would go for Obama, and switched Missouri and North Carolina. I got NE-02 and Indiana right, and thought that Florida, Georgia, and Ohio would be closer than they were.
I knew that Obama had the election won once McCain made his quixotic effort to win over Pennsylvania after seeing similar efforts prove counterproductive in Michigan (which is much like Pennsylvania in its politics), Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
In any event McCain was close to winning until the real estate and financial bubbles imploded on his campaign.