2012: Obama vs Steele

[pbrower2a]

Being party chairman for 2-4 years is not the experience needed for the next commander in cheif. Even though I really like Steele, I would support the Constitution party in this election, unless the election is somewhat close.

As for the political climate...I don't think Obama will do a good job. I'm going to say his approval rating around 35%.

Obama/Biden: 257
Steele/Jindal: 281

Steele would be a desperation pick, someone settled on only after a knock-down, drag-out nomination contest not settled until the Republican National Convention after an eighth round or later some time in the wee hours of the morning as a compromise candidate. Such choices fare badly in recent years, when the Conventions are highly-viewed events, but not at 2 AM.

Obama is a polished politician, as slick as they come, and I assume that he will have some success. Obama wins the minimum core of the Democrats -- Gore 2000+ NH or Kerry + IA + NM -- and state outside of those in which people prefer the black man that they know to the one that they don't. That could give Obama an edge in some States in which he did badly -- where white people will vote for the black man that they at least know over the black man that they don't know.

Face it: John McCain was the strongest candidate that the GOP has run for President since Ronald Reagan, and he still lost badly. In 2012 he won't run, and the GOP has no candidate who has shown that he can win outside of his home area, let alone cut into the recent core of Democratic support.

Not Romney. Not Huckabee. Not Palin.