Latinos and Black voters tend to be more pro incumbent and if Biden is running then some populist type republicans
That would be enough to flip Florida, North Carolina, and Texas, barring sufficient voter suppression.
Someone who was shaken by January 6.
I expect Democrats to make as much of this as they can in 2022 and 2024, which will have an impact upon Congressional and State elections as well.
A Latino who was afraid Democrats were actually socialist.
That was a big part of Trump's appeal in Florida in 2020. It failed in 2012 against Obama because Obama did not shake up the basic realities of capitalism as President... Biden won't either.
Left the party due to 1/6
I'd like to see more polling of Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, and a bunch of Southern states. Genuine conservatives are in practice as hostile to fascism as genuine liberals are hostile to communism.
Republicans need to play down 1/6. Ideally those pols who endorsed or toyed with the traitors deserve to lose in primaries, which I see as the best way for the GOP to avoid near-irrelevance as long as that in the New Deal era. To be sure, economic failure is more visceral, but Democrats can link 1/6 to such analogues as Lenin's Bolsheviks seizing power in Russia in 1917 and Hitler's Beer Hall
Putsch.
Overturning electoral results that one dislikes is one of the most reliable roads to dictatorship. Donald Trump or any Trump-like figure should be suspect.
One thing must be more important than getting one's way in political life and having Big Government solve all our problems for us:
freedom. Many Cubans were perfectly happy with Fidel Castro and many Chileans were happy with Agosto Pinochet.
Opposite agendas (Marxism and absolute plutocracy), but similar repression.
Before someone tells us that it can't happen here because this is America... it did, if in only one state:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mississippi_State_Sovereignty_Commission
