Morning Consult: Biden +6% post-convention (was +10%) (user search)
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  Morning Consult: Biden +6% post-convention (was +10%) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Biden +6% post-convention (was +10%)  (Read 5429 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: August 29, 2020, 02:12:33 PM »

...as good as it gets fr Trump.

Just after the Republican National Convention of 2008, John McCain got enough of a bump to suggest that he might get into a near tie with Obama.

Labor Day is coming, and even if the rallies are virtual, those will work far better for Biden than for Trump.
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
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Posts: 26,878
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2020, 10:16:59 AM »

6% leads  do not ordinarily disintegrate this late in a campaign season. Even if the relevant distinction is that Biden needs a national advantage of 3% because states such as California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Washington, Maryland, and Massachusetts will give him gigantic margins and the difference between a 55% and 80% share in the vote will not make a difference in the Electoral College. The states elect the President; the People don't. That is federalism.

This said, Trump got a bump, which is not surprising when he gets practically all the news coverage for his freak show. Fear and loathing get attention. But after the convention, news coverage will be closer to even. Anyone who despised Trump before the Reactionary National Convention will still despise him, as he has offered nothing really new except a command that people follow him as if they dread a torture chamber, concentration camp, or summary execution.     
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