latest Betfair odds (user search)

Quote from: Crumpets on November 22, 2016, 03:31:57 PM

Wow. Trump at just 28? That's probably where he was... right before election night. Great.

Add the 10.0% chance that Donald Trump dies in office and Pence becomes President, that he decides to not run for re-election, and you get a 38.2% chance that either Trump or Pence will win the 2020 Presidential elections.

Incumbency has its advantages.

On the other hand that means that the Democrats have a 61.8% chance of winning the Presidency in 2020. It's still early.

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