Most likely an outlier (at this stage), but encouraging nonetheless.
It corroborates the recent double-digit lead in the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.
When I see what looks like an outlier I first suspect a mathematical error such as a slipped digit or a bad sample. When I see corroborating outliers I start to look for causes.
The Republican nominee made a thinly-veiled threat to prosecute his opponent with the implication that she would be in prison as a result. He called his opponent "the Devil", an inappropriate remark. He claimed that the United States would be wise to fight ISIS with Russia and with Butcher Assad, who have both chosen to go after remnants of those who wanted a democratic Syria and oppose both the Assad regime and ISIS which both have shown contempt for democracy. That's simply in the last debate. Then come the revelations of some vile sexual misconduct.
One might expect this in a country in which democracy is a novelty but in which some populist shows his populist credentials by threatening an old elite. That is how Robert Mugabe and Hugo Chavez operated.
Donald Trump is getting scary, and the more sophisticated people are or the further they are from fitting the 'undereducated white person' demographic and culture the more they dislike him. If one is an ethnic, sexual, or religious minority of practically any kind (except white fundamentalist-Protestant male) or has the level of education characteristic of a college degree, then one has cause to dread a Trump presidency.
You may not be as aware of recent events as people in America as we who live here know. Donald Trump is not a conventional conservative. His foreign policy is as far from the mainstream as that that the Nixon campaign pinned on George McGovern in 1972. Obama foreign policy is very close to what Ronald Reagan got away with, and Hillary Clinton offers more of the same. Such foreign policy gives flexibility in dealing with tyrants without giving a pretext for kissing up to them.
The Clinton campaign shows strong evidence of showing the opponent as a capricious and dangerous radical. Media show him as a horrible person. Grabbing the crotches of women without the consent of those women is sexual assault.
