Hillary will win Ohio by double digits, but lose Pennsylvania. Against Rubio she will win Texas but lose Michigan. And of course, noted swing states Iowa and Wisconsin have become safe R/safe D respectively. Fun stuff!
1. This poll says nothing directly about Pennsylvania. Someone will poll Pennsylvania soon enough in the aftermath of the implosion of the server/Benghazi hearings. It is unlikely that Hillary Clinton is doing significantly better in Ohio than in Pennsylvania.
I have seen a similar trend in Indiana with limited data.
But that said, many were surprised when West Virginia went for George W. Bush in 2000.
But don't worry. Quinnipiac will poll Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania soon enough. So will PPP.
2. Republicans have apparently become toxic in Wisconsin but not in Iowa. This looks specific to Wisconsin. Could Wisconsin become about as Democratic as Massachusetts when Iowa remains a swing state as usual? Maybe. But Quinnipiac will poll Iowa in the next month or so.
3. We have yet to see the effects of the Congressional hearing translate themselves into polling results. What could well be the strongest case against Hillary Clinton has evaporated.
4. If I am to predict anything, it is that Hillary Clinton will soon be back to where she was before the server 'scandal' and the Benghazi attack took her polling numbers down. Those polling numbers were a very good position. Republicans almost need a military or diplomatic disaster or an economic meltdown to win the Presidency in 2016.
