R.I.P. social conservatism: Why it’s dying — and the coming realignment

[pbrower2a]

I think this is the link you probably should have put up instead of that Salon article.
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This may well turn out to be the case outside the South, but if Nate Cohn is correct about younger southern whites, Dixie will stand out as an exception.

The other areas will be hyper-Republican areas that have been hyper-Republican for decades, typically ranch country in the High Plains and places where Mormons predominate.  Those "other areas" are going to go Republican with 70% or higher votes for Republicans for reasons other than race.

Of course the map may understate a reality in which hyper-urban areas can negate the effect of thinly-populated ranch country upon a state margin. Greater Atlanta can make Georgia close in Presidential elections; so can several large cities in Texas (Houston, Austin, San Antonio, El Paso, Dallas, and Fort Worth could make Texas close ten years or so from now.