pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,854
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« on: June 27, 2013, 07:57:02 PM » |
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So Q is using an extremely restrictive "likely voters" model -- perhaps assuming that the 2014 and 2016 elections will look much like that in 2010 with Republicans fired up and Democrats largely out to lunch. I would expect something between 2010 and 2010 in results in 2014 and that of 2016 much like something between 2008 and 2012.
Change the assumptions and change everything. Young Democrats got a hard lesson in 2011 and 2012, and whether that lesson outpaces the entrenchment of Republicans in power is much in question.
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