Let's say that today 10 states around America are holding statewide referendums on legalizing gay marriage. Neither side has campaigned or put out any advertisements, but citizens are aware of the referendums and are prepared to vote. Based on what you know about these states what will the percent voting "yes" be in each one?
Alabama
South Dakota
New Jersey
Georgia
Alaska
Ohio
Arizona
West Virginia
Oregon
Florida
(Many of these states have already held referendums but were several years ago)
From most likely same-sex marriage wins to losses:
New Jersey, Oregon -- about even
Ohio, Florida -- about even
Alaska
Arizona
Georgia
South Dakota
Alabama