PEW: Obama leads Romney

[pbrower2a]

The GOP has been gaining on partisan registration over the Democrats. Yes, if you stack your electorate, the Dems will win. who knew?

The Democrats make their biggest gains in the last three months before Presidential elections.

Republicans may be gaining rapidly in much of the South, but at this stage that simply runs up the score in victories in places.  Winning 70-30 means the same as winning 53-47.   

[pbrower2a]

The GOP has been gaining on partisan registration over the Democrats. Yes, if you stack your electorate, the Dems will win. who knew?

The Democrats make their biggest gains in the last three months before Presidential elections.

Republicans may be gaining rapidly in much of the South, but at this stage that simply runs up the score in victories in places.  Winning 70-30 means the same as winning 53-47.   

But most Republican gains have been in the Midwest, not the South...

They usually vanish in the Midwest as the unions begin their get-out-the-vote campaigns.

Some of the R gains reflect President Obama overperforming in a bunch of states in 2008 and hitting the plexiglass. Such happens.