New Poll: Michigan President by Foster McCollum White & Associates on 2012-06-12
Summary: D: 47%, R: 45%, I: 4%, U: 4%
Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Question 1:
The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are
you more likely to vote for in the election??
1- President Barack Obama, 2- Mitt Romney, 3- Another candidate or 4- Undecided
(Barack Obama): 46.89%
(Mitt Romney): 45.48%
(Another candidate): 3.56%
(Undecided): 4.07%
The second question:
The ongoing scandal of Wayne County Government and the Democratic County
Executive Robert Ficano has dominated the news for the past 10 months. Does this
continuing scandal impact your view of President Obama and Democratic candidates for
the general election?
(View President Obama/Democratic candidates very unfavorably): 27.43%
(View President Obama/Democratic candidates somewhat unfavorably): 9.84%
Total Unfavorable 37.27%
(It does not impact my view of President Obama/Democratic candidates): 53.45%
Total Awareness factor 90.72%
(Unaware of the issue): 9.28%
Now, I don't think this issue will persist through November. I think the state party will force Ficano out before then. And even if they don't, I don't think it'll have as much of an effect on election day as it does now, since the anger at Ficano is fresher right now.
Still, this is a state that the DNC and Obama don't want to even have to worry about... it's going to be a blue state on election day, but through the summer, it could remain close like this.
Again, an illustration of how news cycles can shape immediate perceptions. Wayne County and especially Detroit have been political snake-pits for decades. If Republicans pose as reformers it is as the sorts who would give everything to the economic elites who then decide that working people harder for less so that they can skim off more is a viable long-term solution.
Perhaps more significant is that "American Crossroads", Karl Rove's front organization, has lavished huge amounts of money on negative ads against the President and on Democrats in general in Michigan.
