I'd say its still 50/50, but the O campaign has serious telltale signs of disaster.
-Desperate and extra-gimmicky fundraising: Sarah Jessica Parker, Pick the Celebrity, hes doing numerous fundraisers - more than even Bush did in his reelection effort and still didnt match Romney recently
The Republicans still have their superstars of asset ownership and bureaucratic power. Next!
She ends up with a good job. What is she supposed to do -- drop out of school to help support her family? Marry a sugar daddy who beats her? President Obama has been a fine President for supporting women's rights not only in formalities but in economics.
I thought that "We've got your back!" was almost military language. Of course the President needs his Base to win. Almost everybody does negative ads of some kind -- just look at what Karl Rogue's group has been doing in Michigan. His Orwellian ads cause me to avoid watching the local news.
Like Dick "Mercenary" Morris?
Dubya was culpable for the economic meltdown and for two budget-wrecking wars, one of which should have been prevented and one which was insane.
"Wallace Democrats" have largely gone R even if they don't realize it yet; "Rockefeller Republicans" have largely gone D even if they don;t realize it yet. They were together politically in 1980, 1984, and 1984... and have found each other incompatible.
They don;t look so great for Republicans, either.
The tipping point has been reached on same-sex marriage or at least civil unions. This will do no harm to the President's chance of re-election. When support for same-sex marriage goes past 50%, then a politician who opposes it had better have a compelling reason.
-NYT leaking national security secrets to make Obama look strong on defense
A train wreck takes seconds to happen and huge resources to undo.
