OK: SoonerPoll: Romney with a chance at 70% in Oklahoma (user search)
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  OK: SoonerPoll: Romney with a chance at 70% in Oklahoma (search mode)
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Author Topic: OK: SoonerPoll: Romney with a chance at 70% in Oklahoma  (Read 2516 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: May 21, 2012, 12:00:56 PM »
« edited: May 22, 2012, 09:03:17 PM by pbrower2a »

Undecideds have to break 8-3 for Romney though ... Tongue

Even if they broke 8-3 for president Obama (which is more likely in that range of disfavor... if I saw Romney down by a similar level in Vermont I would suggest that the undecided would break toward Romney) President Obama would 'only' win Vermont state 65-35.

If anything, except in a general collapse of a campaign, the undecided drift ineffectively toward the eventual loser in that statewide or district.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2012, 12:07:48 PM »

Oklahoma is not a joke. It has the sort of politics that the GOP aspires to have nationwide.  
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2012, 08:36:21 PM »

The part about Democrats seems doubtful--OK has blacks, and Obama did much better with them in 2008. The final margin will likely be anywhere from 62% Romney (a significant improvement from 2008) to 67% Romney (good year)
Only 7% black.

There are more Native Americans than blacks.

A group which is just as Democratic as blacks.

In Oklahoma they are heavily assimilated, much in contrast to the reality in Arizona, Montana,  or South Dakota.
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