I now no longer consider the campaigns of Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul viable. I have chosen to
recognize that the print media have completely abandoned coverage of the Gingrich campaign from the outside, and that the lifeblood of his campaign (money) has dried up. It is now inconceivable that Ron Paul could win enough votes in any primary or caucus to get his campaign moving, and I can't imagine him as a compromise candidate in the event of a brokered convention. He is to the Left of President Obama on foreign policy, military activity, and drugs! He might still excite people, but he doesn't excite
enough people.
In brokered convention someone like Jeb Bush, John Thune, or James DeMint has a better chance than either Gingrich or Paul. I intend to lock the earlier thread that shows Gingrich and Ron Paul.
Reddish shades are for a lead by President Obama; bluish shades are for a lead by the relevant Republican campaigner.
under 1% white
1-2% shade 20%
3-4% shade 30%
5-7% shade 40%
8-9% shade 60%
10% or greater shade 80%
Above 10% the distinctions are effectively moot in a winner-take-all statewide election.
Obama vs. Romney Obama vs. Santorum