Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[pbrower2a]

Significant because it shows how a religious body well known for its social conservatism can adapt to legal change that it may have dreaded.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/12/utah-anti-discrimination-bill_n_6854624.html?utm_hp_ref=gay-voices&ir=Gay%20Voices

Although any public official can refuse to issue a license for a same-sex marriage (but only on religious reasons), that official must designate someone willing to authorize the marriage.

[pbrower2a]

PUERTO RICO!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/22/puerto-rico-gay-marriage-ban-_n_6913554.html?utm_hp_ref=gay-marriage

[pbrower2a]

Can someone add Puerto Rico to the map?

[pbrower2a]

Can someone add Puerto Rico to the map?

Don't add it to the map until people actually start marrying. Technically the district judge's ruling upholding the state's ban is still in effect until the first circuit reverses that decision.

I'm talking about adding the image of Puerto Rico to the map for SSM rights. This map has nothing to do with elections.

[pbrower2a]

I tried creating a map based on a year 2036, figuring that Puerto Rico then has statehood adding a line for Puerto Rico.

[pbrower2a]

Guam:

HAGATNA, Guam (AP) — Guam's attorney general and governor are at odds over whether same-sex couples should be allowed to wed, a change that would make it the first U.S. territory to allow gay marriage.

The territory's top law enforcement officer directed officials Wednesday to begin processing marriage license applications from same-sex couples. But the governor said he wanted to study the issue further, and the public health director said he wouldn't accept the applications.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/04/14/guam-gay-marriage_n_7067378.html?utm_hp_ref=gay-marriage

[pbrower2a]

A record-high 6 in 10 Americans support same-sex marriage and a similar share say individual states should not be allowed to define marriage as only between a man and a woman, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.


Q: Overall, do you support or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally?


Support 61%

Oppose 35%

Q: Overall, do you support or oppose allowing individual states to prohibit same-sex marriages?


Support 36%

Oppose 61%



Q: Overall, do you support or oppose requiring states to recognize same-sex marriages performed legally in other states?


Support 62%

Oppose 35%

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/04/23/National-Politics/Polling/release_395.xml

America is ahead of its elected officials on this.

[pbrower2a]

The oral arguments have begun today.

Imaginable themes:

1. Are the arguments used in defending SSM bans in Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, and Tennessee any different from those arguments that failed in districts other than the 6th?

It would take a thoroughly novel as well as convincing argument to stop SSM in any one of the states. Some of the arguments against SSM are shown below, but lined-out if proved invalid:

a. It violates Biblical law
b. Marriage exists to promote procreation.
c.  It's unpopular.
d. What about the children?
e. It violates millennia of tradition.
f.  God Almighty disapproves!
g. There will be earthquakes, storms, and floods.
h. Gays and lesbians simply seek special privileges.
i.  If SSM is allowed, then people will soon seek incestuous or polygamous marriages, marriages with animals, or with inanimate objects. 
j.  It will wreak havoc upon my genealogical software.

I made up "j" --- and it is something that I can live with. (So will people living to age 150!)

2. Federal law and the interpretation of the Constitution can differ between the States only for compelling reasons. Thus a state with a heritage of discrimination in employment might be obliged to apply Affirmative Action to hiring but other states with no such a heritage might be under no such obligation.  But the issue is not a pattern of discrimination on race, religion, ethnicity, gender, or national origin.

Uniformity of Federal law between the states is a fact. The federal tax schedules are the same for all states. The federal minimum wage is identical in all states. The formula for distributing state and federal aid to highways is the same for all states. Federal criminal codes operate the same in all states. The military draft acts the same way in all states. Constitutional protections are the same in all states.   

[pbrower2a]

Status of SSM in America, 28 April, 2015 at 9AM EDT:

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up
Gray -- local option

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM has not  been permanently legalized as of 9 AM EST on 6 January 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
6th circuit*
8th circuit
11th circuit
Missouri -- local option.

*Next appeal, US Supreme court.

Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 7th, 9th, and 10th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6 (local option)
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[pbrower2a]

i.  If SSM is allowed, then people will soon seek incestuous or polygamous marriages, marriages with animals, or with inanimate objects. 

Well, one of the phrases that SSM supporters sprout is that "love is love" and applying that logic as a reason for SSM would also be just as easily applied to polygamy/incest/bestiality.

It is the fallacy of the slippery slope -- that people allowed to marry people of the same gender will get to marry a gun or a car.

[pbrower2a]

Support for same-sex marriage has reached an all-time high, according to recent polls. A new survey from Gallup shows a record 60 percent of Americans now say they approve of legalized same-sex marriage.

The trend measured by Gallup closely matches results from other polls that have been measuring public opinion on same-sex marriage. An ABC/Washington Post poll conducted in April found that 61 percent of Americans approve. Similarly, a Quinnipiac University poll from the same month measured approval at 58 percent.






http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/05/20/support-for-same-sex-marriage-_n_7342790.html

..........

I'm guessing that even if the US Supreme Court denies the legalization of same-sex marriage in Michigan and Ohio, a referendum allowing same-sex marriage would pass in either state if the State Legislature would do the right thing.

[pbrower2a]

PPP, Pennsylvania:

-A little more than a year after gay marriage became legal in Pennsylvania, PPP finds it with a record level of support in the state. 51% of voters say they favor it, compared to only 41% who are opposed. That represents a 26 point net increase in support since just 2011 when we found only 36% of voters in support of it and 52% opposed. Among independents the numbers are 59/31 in support of gay marriage, and among voters under 45 there's 66/29 support. The only thing making the numbers remotely close overall is continued 34/56 opposition among seniors.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/06/pennsylvania-miscellany.html#more

[pbrower2a]

A majority 65 percent of Americans expect the Supreme Court to rule in favor of same-sex marriage for couples in all 50 states, according to a Public Research Religion Institute (PRRI) poll released Thursday. Just one-quarter of Americans believe the court will not overturn the state bans on same-sex marriage.

The agreement bridges party divides as well. Seventy-one percent of Democrats, 67 percent of independents and 58 percent of Republicans foresee a ruling in favor of same-sex marriage.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/06/11/supreme-court-marriage-equality_n_7561406.html?utm_hp_ref=gay-voices&ir=Gay%20Voices

[pbrower2a]

I almost never predict rulings by any court of law. The preponderance of Circuit Court rulings on SSM  causes me to believe that the US Supreme Court will rule in favor of same-sex marriage. Uniformity of law on basic human rights is the norm and not the exception in federal rulings beginning with Brown vs. Board of Education.    

[pbrower2a]

Human rights get standardized. States have more prerogatives on such economic matters as taxes. Thus Texas can have brutal sales taxes and no income tax and Oregon can have no state sales taxes but brutal income taxes. States may have different penalties for the same crime, and may have different labor laws.

[pbrower2a]

The Supreme Court is in session.  It has made some ruling, but not on SSM -- yet.

[pbrower2a]

As I read the decision of the US Supreme Court re Obergfell v. Hodges, the decision of the Sixth Circuit Court is invalidated. SSM is thus legal in Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, and Tennessee.

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
8th circuit
11th circuit



Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, and 10th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9









[/quote]

[pbrower2a]

A cautionary note from the Houston Chronicle:

(pardon the citation because much of this is statements by public officials to a newspaper)

You must be logged in to read this quote.

...I would like to believe that Obergfell v. Hodges settles the question of whether same-sex marriage is permitted in all states. Some judge, county clerk, or other low-level official will surely refuse to issue a marriage license for a same-sex couple in an effort to sabotage the ruling. I expect a definitive statement by the US Supreme Court that the ruling applies to Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska. Let alone the Neanderthal judge in Alabama.

I congratulate Utah for a reasonable and workable compromise: persons who believe that issuing a license for same-sex marriage would violate their religious beliefs can refuse to do so personally but must refer the job to someone who will do so.

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/06/26/georgia-democrats-celebrate-same-sex-marriage-ruling/

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
8th circuit




Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[pbrower2a]

Pbrower, I can tell you that both North Dakota and Arkansas will follow the Supreme Court.  Can give source if necessary.  So both can be white.

I am checking other states. That's how I got the news on Georgia and Texas.

[pbrower2a]

Nebraska, too, recognizes Obergfell v. Hodges decisive.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.omaha.com/news/nebraska/douglas-lancaster-counties-begin-issuing-same-sex-marriage-licenses/article_74f43388-1ab6-11e5-987c

Likewise, South Dakota:

SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — A U.S. Supreme Court opinion that declared same-sex marriage legal nationwide is effective in South Dakota immediately and it's up to each county in the state to begin issuing marriage licenses, the state attorney general said Friday.

Attorney General Marty Jackley said counties can begin issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples as soon as they are able, but acknowledged issues like the size of a county and the number applications could delay the process.

"We are saying it's effective immediately but with that recognition that we will work with local jurisdictions to provide a reasonable period of time to implement a fairly significant rule and change in law," Jackley said.

http://siouxcityjournal.com/ap/state/jackley-up-to-counties-to-issue-gay-marriage-licenses/article_2aa994ca-28cc-57cc-85d7-8359e9a17ec9.html

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
8th circuit




Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[pbrower2a]

Wait, it's not legal in all 50 states?

The US Supreme Court will likely smack down this official resistance. The Governor and the Attorney General seem to believe that Obergfell vs. Hodges does not apply to Louisiana.  That is why I am cautious about blanking states.

Nothing definitive yet on North Dakota.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/06/gay_marriage_louisiana_attorne.html#incart_related_stories

(Most of the material is official statements by public officials, so please do not consider such a copyright violation).

The Governor:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/06/bobby_jindal_gay_marriage_supr.html#incart_story_package

(Most of the material is official statements by public officials, so please do not consider such a copyright violation).

[pbrower2a]

The first couple to receive a same-sex wedding license after the U.S. Supreme Court legalized gay unions was married Friday by the same judge who struck down the ban in Arkansas last year.

Earnie Matheson, 65, and Tony Chiaro, 73, showed up at the Pulaski County Courthouse about an hour after the U.S. Supreme Court released its decision. They applied for and were granted a license at the clerk's office while reporters hovered around them and then embarked back into the rotunda to find someone to conduct the ceremony and wed them.

http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2015/jun/26/pulaski-county-clerk-will-review-marriage-opinion-/

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
8th circuit




Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9











[/quote]

[pbrower2a]

Over in Louisiana and Mississippi. The Fifth Circuit Court so says.

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM will not have been permanently legalized as of 10 AM EST on 26 June 2015:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit


All states holding out on SSM are in the Fifth Circuit.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[pbrower2a]

Nothing definitive yet on North Dakota.

Now there is.

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http://bismarcktribune.com/news/state-and-regional/north-dakota-gay-marriage-ban-void-following-supreme-court-ruling/article_8edc37fb-c693-5105-831c-7a37e4167dc1.html