National swing of states 2004-2012

[retromike22]

I made a map:

+1 to +4 = 30% Shade
+5 to +9 = 50% Shade
+10 to + 14 = 70% Shade
+15 and up = 90% Shade

[retromike22]

k I updated the map

You should edit the first post.

Nebraska seems odd...

[retromike22]

6.  Georgia looks like a much better D opportunity than Arizona here, but I wonder how much of that is the result of Obama's unique strength with black voters?

I'm also wondering if Arizona didn't shift D because of McCain being the nominee in 2008, and in 2012 with Romney there is also a sizeable Mormon population (about 6%, the fifth highest in the U.S.) And Obama didn't really compete for AZ in 2012, I'm unsure if Kerry did.

[retromike22]

Like this?

[retromike22]

I was trying to make a future electoral map based on these trend maps. Grey would be the toss up states.

Like this?

Why the "grey" color in some states?

Where would you say the Democrats' future lies?

Generally speaking, a coastal coalition seems most feasible. With the exception of SC, they should aim to win every state that borders the Atlantic ocean, from ME to FL.