What if Bridgegate (Chris Christie scandal) had never happened?

[Justin_Krunchski]

What if Bridgegate had never happened in his second term? How would he fair against Hillary Clinton in 2016? (Assuming he wins the nomination)

[Justin_Krunchski]

Trump still wins the primaries, but if Christie was nominated:


Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) ✓
Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ) / Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)

I personally think Christie would win, he wouldn't of campaigned in PA or MI as much as Trump did, but would take advantage of Clinton ignoring WI. He'd easily win Utah by 30% considering that McMullin was only really running because he opposed Trump. He would also carry Nevada very narrowly, I'm talking probably 0.2%.

[Justin_Krunchski]

Trump still wins the primaries, but if Christie was nominated:


Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) ✓
Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ) / Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)

I personally think Christie would win, he wouldn't of campaigned in PA or MI as much as Trump did, but would take advantage of Clinton ignoring WI. He'd easily win Utah by 30% considering that McMullin was only really running because he opposed Trump. He would also carry Nevada very narrowly, I'm talking probably 0.2%.

Oh and I forgot, Christie would perform better with moderate voters in the GOP enough to get him NH.

[Justin_Krunchski]

I think he wins with a similar map to Trump 2016, plus maybe MN and VA. I don't think he'd actually win NJ, but it may have even been within 5 points.

Thinking more about it, Chris Christie is the modern Nixon. Someone who could have been remembered so fondly, but destroyed his reputation with a completely unnecessary scandal.

But unfortunately, these things are part of people's personalities. Even if Bridgegate never happened and Christie made it to the White House, it's very possible that he would have been felled by something else.

He would lose NJ by 6%, 51%-45%. In 2020, it would be 53%-44% against Biden.
I agree with everything else you have said, I think in 2020 Christie would hold onto AZ by 4%, and cling onto Georgia by 0.8 or 1%. Christie would take COVID-19 seriously which helps him with voters nationwide, and helps him keep the election close with Biden but I'm not sure who would actually win.

[Justin_Krunchski]

True I'm just saying if Christie were the nominee he probably does much better in NV to the point he could win it, especially if his VP is Rubio.