March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)

[Landslide Lyndon]

So are all the people who constantly go "this is a bad number for Biden" going to weigh in on Trump in Florida?

Its a meh number but roughly 420k votes were cast before Haley's exit.. and dems cancelled their primary.  

That's irrelevant. Florida is a closed primary.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Trump not breaking 80% in Florida would be a bit lackluster for him.

Of course he'll break 80, most of the panhandle is still out.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Florida Democratic Party: Making the Keystone Cops Look Good for the Last 20 Years.

https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1770241071311638570

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wait, so they cancelled the primary for everyone? How does that work? How are the congressional nominees, etc. decided? I thought they just cancelled it on the presidential end.

They cancelled the presidential primary because Biden was the only one who filed.
The other primaries are held on another date.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Native Americans continue to not be Biden fans.

Genocide Joe reminds them of George Custer. /s

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'm still shocked that more people aren't picking up on Kansas' Trump protest vote? Trump only getting 75% there in a state (he won) that voted I think entirely after Haley dropped out seems pretty substantial??

Biden didn't exactly kill it in Kansas either and he was up against nothing. Haley ran a real campaign. What was Bernie pulling against Biden post-dropout? Not that she was ever as serious for Trump as he was for Biden but that might something interesting to compare it to.

Wot

[Landslide Lyndon]

Nobody was talking about Biden, they were talking about Trump's performance. He's supposed to be the most popular presidential candidate in the history of every single presidential election, yet he has dramatically under performed in all primaries in comparison to the most hated President in history (according to Atlas standards, not real life ones).

You can't compare the results of a non-incumbent running in an open, competitive primary with the results of a sitting president running in a primary where he has no serious challenge to his party's nomination. It's not an apples-to-apples comparison. Obviously the leading non-incumbent will get a lower share of the vote in that scenario than the sitting president will. You can't say Trump dramatically underperformed relative to Biden when it's not an apples-to-apples comparison.

What you should be comparing Trump's performance to is previous Republican primaries where the Republicans were the non-incumbent party and it was an open, competitive primary. Compare what Trump did in 2024 with all previous primaries of that nature and see how he compares. He didn't dramatically underperform in that scenario. He crushed it. He skipped all the debates, let the other candidates debate among themselves, and still beat them all by double digits.

Trump is a former president who is running as a semi-incumbent.
To compare his performances with Romney in 2012 or McCain in 2008 is ridiculous.