2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 168171 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #75 on: October 05, 2020, 11:36:23 AM »

Remember the days when raising more than 200 thousand meant you were a legit candidate?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #76 on: October 08, 2020, 04:22:41 PM »

I'm more wondering *who* is donating to candidacies of Crenshaw and Garcia. They certainly don't seem like "Grassroots" candidates, so are these like major donors going all in on them?

People who see them on Fox?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #77 on: October 09, 2020, 01:13:48 AM »

Texas Six Pack, 2020 edition?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #78 on: October 09, 2020, 01:57:33 PM »

Actually that's not very impressive for Kean considering his name and connections.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #79 on: October 11, 2020, 08:41:57 AM »

This is ridiculous.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #80 on: October 12, 2020, 02:18:20 AM »

https://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/we-recommend/2020/10/12/our-recommendation-for-the-32nd-congressional-district/

Dallas Morning News endorses Allred for reelection after backing Sessions in 2018. Step in the right direction, but I am still pissed at them for endorsing Van Duyne, and won't uncancel my subscription.

How could they endorse someone like Van Duyne? She makes Michelle Bachmann look sane.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #81 on: October 14, 2020, 12:58:34 PM »

Queen.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #82 on: October 14, 2020, 06:57:45 PM »

That went well.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #83 on: October 15, 2020, 01:27:05 AM »

Besides the impressive fundraising of his opponent, is there any other reason to consider DeFazio vulnerable?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #84 on: October 15, 2020, 10:19:29 AM »

My God!



Jon Tester raised 21 million the entire 2018 cycle.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #85 on: October 17, 2020, 01:01:39 PM »

It worked brilliantly for Claudia Tenney, so why not?

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #86 on: October 21, 2020, 02:29:29 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #87 on: October 21, 2020, 07:59:46 AM »

How long did they keep FL-26 a toss up? One month?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #88 on: October 22, 2020, 01:54:21 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #89 on: October 23, 2020, 09:24:30 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #90 on: October 26, 2020, 07:01:18 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #91 on: October 28, 2020, 03:31:06 PM »

Inside Elections' no Tossup ratings. 29 moves towards Democrats and 1 move towards Republicans.

https://www.rollcall.com/2020/10/28/rating-changes-texas-georgia-election-outlook-continues-to-swing-toward-democrats/

Quote
Senate races
Alaska (Dan Sullivan, R): from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Georgia (David Perdue, R): from Tilt Republican to Toss-up
Georgia (Kelly Loeffler, R): from Lean Republican to Tilt Republican
House races

Arkansas’ 2nd (French Hill, R): from Tilt Republican to Toss-up
Colorado’s 3rd (Open; Scott Tipton, R): from Lean Republican to Tilt Republican
Georgia’s 6th (Lucy McBath, D): from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic
Indiana’s 5th (Open; Susan W. Brooks, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Iowa’s 1st (Abby Finkenauer, D): from Tilt Democratic to Lean Democratic
Iowa’s 2nd (Open; Dave Loebsack, D): from Tilt Democratic to Lean Democratic
Minnesota’s 1st (Jim Hagedorn, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Missouri’s 2nd (Ann Wagner, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Nebraska’s 2nd (Don Bacon, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
New Jersey’s 2nd (Jeff Van Drew, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
New Jersey’s 3rd (Andy Kim, D): from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic (off the board)
New Jersey’s 7th (Tom Malinowski, D): from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic
North Carolina’s 8th (Richard Hudson, R): from Lean Republican to Tilt Republican
North Carolina’s 11th (Vacant; Mark Meadows, R): from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Ohio’s 1st (Steve Chabot, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Pennsylvania’s 17th (Conor Lamb, D): from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic (off the board)
Texas’ 2nd (Daniel Crenshaw, R): from Likely Republican to Solid Republican (off the board)
Texas’ 3rd (Van Taylor, R): from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Texas’ 10th (Michael; McCaul, R): from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Texas’ 24th (Open; Kenny Marchant, R): from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic
Virginia’s 2nd (Elaine Luria, D): from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic
Virginia's 5th (Open; Denver Riggleman, R): from Tilt Republican to Toss-up
Washington’s 3rd (Jaime Herrera Beutler, R): from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Wisconsin’s 3rd (Ron Kind, D): from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic (off the board)
Agree with most of these except TX-02 and MN-01

Same here. Do they know something we don't?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #92 on: October 29, 2020, 02:10:01 AM »

The fact that Andy Kim is giving his money away really speaks to how dramatically the GOP House campaign has collapsed.



We could have been favored to hold this seat but MacArthur had to be an idiot and take the fall on AHCA when a safe seat member could have done it. Though I will say that though I'm from the opposite party, Andy Kim is a very nice guy.

McArthur's seat was considered safe back then.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #93 on: October 30, 2020, 03:31:49 AM »

Polls also showed Pearce competitive in his race against Lujan-Grisham and at the end he lost by 15 points. Democrats are routinely underestimated in New Mexico, like in most other states with big Hispanic populations.  
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