Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

[Landslide Lyndon]

How dare you sully the name of Michael MacDonald, the formula of predicting elections based off of anecdotal turnout reports and early voting was pure genius!!

Can you stop trying to derail the thread?

[Landslide Lyndon]

How dare you sully the name of Michael MacDonald, the formula of predicting elections based off of anecdotal turnout reports and early voting was pure genius!!

Can you stop trying to derail the thread, you miserable little troll?

Calm down dude, I was responding to someone who name dropped him randomly

That would be you.

[Landslide Lyndon]

LaHood has conceded.

Good. One horrible person less in public office.

[Landslide Lyndon]

That Trevino guy seems as charming and gracious as anybody would expect from a Bernie bro.

https://therivardreport.com/congressional-district-23-primary-election-results-2018/

Treviño said that slates are clean going into the runoff election.

“If I work hard and I am able to organize, I will be able to beat Gina,” whom he referred to as “just another [Washington], D.C.-chosen candidate with powerful friends who picked her even before speaking to the people who live in the district.”

[Landslide Lyndon]

As long as TX whites vote 70+ for GOP then it will not be competitive for the near future. VA/CO flipped mainly because whites, every TX blue scenario relies on Latinos and misses the white voters in the equation.

Clinton made gains in Texas mainly on the backs of whites.

No she made gains in the margins due to many Never Trump Republicans voting for Gary Johnson

I mean, a lot of Republicans in TX also crossed over for Hillary. You don't just go from -17 to -9 because of Gary Johnson (who only got 3% of the vote). Some of the suburban districts shifted over 20 points over for Hillary.

There was a pretty big margin shift (17 point margin shift in fact) among college educated whites to Hillary, so yeah, Hillary did make gains due to college educated whites.

Obama won 41.4% of vote in 2012 , Hillary won 43.2%(thats not much of an increase).

It is if you consider that she lost three points compared to Obama nationally.

[Landslide Lyndon]

So excited for Democrats to waste millions in Texas for nothing but virtue victories. I doubt they have a chance at any seat other than Hurd's

I bet you were excited when they were spending millions in Alabama and PA-18 too.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Dear God, no wonder that woman sank like a rock with the voters despite the millions she spend. Maybe next time she should consider running for something more to her league, like dogcatcher.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=113&v=eWHKUW77Eps

[Landslide Lyndon]

[Landslide Lyndon]

Why is Quigley having such a weak showing?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wow.

Dem votes: 639K
GOP votes: 200K

The blue wave is dead because Texas said so

This is Illinois. They're supposed to have a Democratic primary advantage. Not exactly good news.

Go to sleep kid, it's way past your bedtime.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Can Newman run as an independent?

No, there is a sore loser law in Illinois.

Can Newman run as an independent?

Will be a great way to hand the GOP the election. Nothing less from the alleged " St. Lady Bernie".

Didn't I tell you to go to sleep kid?
Don't you have to go to school tomorrow morning?

[Landslide Lyndon]

It is 12hrs past poll closing time, and nobody, not even Wufric wants to call the D primary for IL-6. 260 votes seperate Mazeski and Casten, with a little under 100 precincts left.

Casten has taken the lead according to twitter.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I asked yesterday about Quigley but I see that Adama Kinzinger has also a sub par showing.
Did he have a notable opponent or it's just the crazies souring on him for being insufficiently pro-Trump?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Goodbye to any chance at a Democratic NE-02. SAD!

Ashford was going to blow it. He ran even with Hillary as an incumbent in NE-02.

Ashford's strength as a candidate was always wildly over-rated. NE-02 is a swing district, Ashford's first win was in 2014 against a Republican whose whole career was putting his foot in his mouth and just ing up. Don Bacon was a throughly average candidate who, in normal circumstances against an incumbent with as many moderate credentials as Ashford should've lost.

I think Eastman has a shot in a good year, especially judging that she was able to beat Ashford in the primary even with Ashford having all of the institutional support in the world.

I think people are underestimating how likable and energetic Eastman is. Local media was constantly chattering about how Eastman was basically canvassing everyday and talking to literally anyone she could find. She'd also hold events almost every other day and attend any function that invited her, no matter how small. In debates, forums, and events, Eastman came off as likable while still being knowledgeable while Ashford seemed to resent having to be there (and he carried that sour attitude all the way to his election night party. He left when it became clear he wasn't winning and ran off before all the results came in). Eastman's policies aren't that far off from most mainstream Democrats today, and she's magnetic and willing to put in the legwork to get the votes. I don't think she should be written off just yet.

I hope you are right because Justice Dems are the closest thing to a left-wing Tea Party there is.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Why are Democratic doing so well in turnout in KY-06.

There are way more registered dems than registered republicans in most parts of Kentucky. Even the rural areas.

Is that still the case? I thought Republicans had closed the gap.