NY-03 Special Election Megathread (user search)
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  NY-03 Special Election Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY-03 Special Election Megathread  (Read 22089 times)
Pres Mike
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« on: February 13, 2024, 10:08:40 AM »

When will we know results? Or will it be a repeat of 2020 when it took a month for NY to count the votes
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2024, 11:04:16 AM »

When will we know results? Or will it be a repeat of 2020 when it took a month for NY to count the votes

NY Elections are like that one coworker who once farted during a meeting. Yeah, he has so much else to his personality, but he will always be known as the guy who farted during the meeting.

NY screwed up the tabulation of their elections that one time under extremely unusual circumstances. So they changed the system and practices. We'll have ~95% of votes tonight unless the weather impacts the counting as well as the voting, with only the postmarked absentees left to add later. Unless things are closer than 51-49 (which it shouldn't) there will be a easy call. Thats how it was during the 2022 specials and regular elections, for comparisons sake.

But people are always going to come in expecting a repeat of 2020.
Well, election night 2020 was quite traumatizing for me. For a few hours, I thought it was a repeat of 2016. So I have a negative view of any electoral process that was less than adequate in 2020 (New York, Nevada)

I've read 15 books on the 2020 election and I usually skip the page that describes the initial results on election night because it makes me so uncomfortable
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2024, 10:21:14 PM »

Great news for November!

That said, how much did the snow impact things?
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2024, 10:35:46 PM »

In addition to immigration being an apparent nothingburger issue for the Republicans, another important thing to remember here is that New York is a solidly pro-choice state where abortion remains legal, and where there is no danger of it being banned (with anything other than a national ban, anyway, which would be very difficult for Republicans to enact).

So any Dobbs effect in this race is likely less powerful than it would be in a state where abortion was actually made illegal as a result of Dobbs.
I some what disagree. Even in blue states, there is pressure to elect Democrats in swing districts with the hope of a federal law allowing abortion everywhere
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