Doesn't Nevada have "None of these candidates" as a ballot option?
This could lwk be an underrated factor in the race...tbh I didn't realize that NOTA was an option at the presidential level, but if it is, I could actually see a decent number of usual Democrats putting that option up.
I think NV could certainly flip this year, but even if it does, it'll be close. The margin will not be anywhere near 13 points or even half of that. Trump+3 is on the bullish end of the spectrum of possibilities; I wouldn't expect him to do any better than that barring unforeseen circumstances that result in a red wave.
